Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +550 DRKE -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -5.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -7.0 (+2.0) | 137.2 (+9.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -7.0 (+2.0) | 134.2 (+12.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.6 (+1.6) | 134.8 (+12.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -7.6 (+2.6) | 134.6 (+12.4) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UIC 72 – 51 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UIC 80 – 70 DRKE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIC 74 – 67 DRKE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DRKE 74 – 57 UIC |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UIC 74 – 70 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#284) | 3.6 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#235) | 1.04 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#240) | 1.30 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#220) | 0.565 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.