Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -163 MUR +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -3.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -2.5 (+5.5) | 138.1 (+3.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -2.5 (+5.5) | 135.7 (+6.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -2.0 (+6.0) | 137.3 (+4.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -2.4 (+5.6) | 136.9 (+5.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | UNI 89 – 60 MUR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNI 81 – 76 MUR |
| Feb 18, 2025 | UNI 74 – 67 MUR |
| Jan 9, 2025 | MUR 71 – 68 UNI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MUR 71 – 43 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | -0.8 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#226) | 0.12 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#207) | 0.12 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#234) | 0.503 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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