Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -24.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -19.1 (-10.1) | 135.7 (+9.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -16.9 (-7.9) | 133.2 (+11.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -17.1 (-8.1) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -18.7 (-9.7) | 136.4 (+8.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 23.6 (#1) | 3.6 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.25 (#8) | 0.49 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#8) | 0.49 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#4) | 0.535 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 40.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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