The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–8 on winners spread MAE 8.9 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State +7.3 142.6 79% 57–65 ✓
Michigan State @ Wisconsin +3.8 129.9 65% 69–65 ✗
Belmont @ Valparaiso -6.3 142.9 24% 74–59 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +1.2 137.2 60% 72–73 ✓
South Carolina @ Kentucky +14.1 139.5 89% 71–68 ✗
Florida @ LSU +0.6 137.9 59% 67–56 ✗
VCU @ Loyola Chicago -4.3 141.5 32% 78–64 ✓
Dayton @ Fordham -3.5 131.7 34% 82–58 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State +9.2 153.5 82% 63–75 ✓
Akron @ Bowling Green -1.6 139.7 46% 74–70 ✓
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) -2.4 156.9 40% 80–91 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan +1.5 149.6 58% 79–85 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +1.4 148.1 57% 71–76 ✓
Hartford @ St. Francis Brooklyn +8.3 128.9 79% 73–78 ✓
Texas Tech @ Iowa State +6.7 132.0 76% 50–84 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa -3.4 144.6 37% 76–72 ✓
Drake @ UIC -6.6 134.8 25% 76–71 ✓
Murray State @ Northern Iowa +2.0 137.3 64% 67–75 ✓
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois +0.4 137.2 51% 54–73 ✓
Seton Hall @ Georgetown -8.2 143.4 21% 66–51 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas +10.9 138.2 84% 75–79 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee +17.1 135.2 90% 68–77 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia +4.3 140.2 72% 58–65 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss -1.7 131.2 44% 82–73 ✓
Villanova @ DePaul -2.8 144.9 39% 65–75 ✗
Illinois @ Nebraska -2.4 136.3 45% 76–50 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +5.3 139.1 72% 85–74 ✗
Fresno State @ San José State +4.7 130.6 71% 64–74 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah State +12.4 148.9 87% 63–83 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +5.9 138.6 71% 65–74 ✓
American University @ Army -0.6 140.3 46% 60–72 ✗
Vermont @ UMass Lowell +4.2 141.4 69% 65–80 ✓
Mississippi State @ Georgia -0.5 130.6 48% 50–58 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.