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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.1
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colgate
@
Army
|
-1.7 | 156.2 | 41% | 77–75 | ✓ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Robert Morris
|
+13.2 | 134.4 | 88% | 70–77 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Coppin State
|
-3.1 | 156.8 | 37% | 64–59 | ✓ |
Howard
@
Maryland Eastern Shore
|
+3.7 | 136.0 | 64% | 73–82 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
Delaware State
|
-8.9 | 136.9 | 20% | 78–65 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
New Mexico
|
+4.9 | 157.5 | 69% | 75–82 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Jackson State
|
+2.4 | 145.6 | 62% | 64–72 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-5.3 | 136.5 | 28% | 67–71 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Grambling
|
+14.3 | 133.7 | 89% | 57–62 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Southern
|
+10.9 | 146.0 | 87% | 75–102 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-2.5 | 136.8 | 39% | 55–63 | ✗ |
Butler
@
St. John's
|
+1.4 | 146.3 | 58% | 61–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.