Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–14 on winners spread MAE 9.4 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Pennsylvania @ Houston +26.6 131.6 91% 42–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida Gulf Coast -13.4 143.7 18% 68–72 ✗
Austin Peay @ Memphis +16.9 140.0 87% 70–81 ✓
UIC @ Southern Illinois +5.6 133.9 73% 50–62 ✓
Bellarmine @ High Point +13.6 140.4 89% 85–90 ✓
Wagner @ Manhattan +3.9 130.1 58% 68–56 ✗
South Alabama @ Old Dominion +0.9 147.9 57% 61–59 ✗
Yale @ Santa Clara +5.4 146.7 69% 66–58 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M +23.4 144.1 91% 54–79 ✓
West Virginia @ Ohio State +11.7 142.1 82% 75–78 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley +1.2 151.1 56% 74–77 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Grand Canyon +6.2 139.9 78% 70–73 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside +1.0 141.1 57% 77–79 ✓
Seattle U @ UTEP -1.0 141.8 46% 73–61 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State -0.5 140.2 48% 61–66 ✗
Chattanooga @ Auburn +20.9 153.2 90% 66–101 ✓
USC @ Oregon State -3.8 144.7 37% 70–86 ✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Bakersfield -9.9 141.4 21% 75–56 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +8.7 133.8 79% 63–61 ✗
Robert Morris @ Green Bay +5.2 139.8 67% 61–78 ✓
New Hampshire @ Iowa State +22.5 154.8 91% 70–85 ✓
Washington State @ Colorado +6.5 144.1 77% 67–74 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +18.7 138.4 91% 56–91 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis -11.3 142.4 16% 86–77 ✓
Monmouth @ Oklahoma +18.3 145.1 88% 56–72 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi State +26.0 142.3 91% 62–85 ✓
South Carolina State @ Oklahoma State +17.4 147.1 90% 70–86 ✓
Wright State @ Milwaukee -1.1 162.8 54% 83–91 ✗
Oakland @ Youngstown State +3.8 142.4 68% 88–81 ✗
Omaha @ South Dakota +3.7 151.1 65% 67–51 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +5.7 140.7 75% 61–80 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas +10.1 132.9 83% 56–77 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Lindenwood +2.2 137.2 52% 73–62 ✗
Arizona @ Stanford -12.8 164.5 20% 82–100 ✗
Bryant @ Ole Miss +10.6 148.3 84% 78–95 ✓
Morgan State @ NJIT +4.0 151.3 71% 53–69 ✓
Western Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +4.2 134.0 66% 78–70 ✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State -10.7 141.2 17% 83–64 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver +8.4 156.9 81% 89–86 ✗
Washington @ Utah +7.7 157.3 81% 90–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.