← All models
Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+0.2 | 147.3 | 53% | 71–69 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.3 | 138.5 | 85% | 65–99 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.9 | 144.0 | 88% | 62–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.4 | 147.8 | 89% | 57–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.9 | 149.1 | 91% | 42–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.