All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–15 on winners spread MAE 11.2 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
St. Bonaventure @ Marquette -0.1 141.0 46% 70–54 ✓
Utah @ Tulsa -9.6 136.0 20% 72–58 ✓
Louisiana @ Indiana +8.7 132.7 65% 44–76 ✓
Northeastern @ Southern Illinois +0.3 123.8 51% 59–47 ✗
Missouri @ SMU +7.6 140.3 78% 80–75 ✗
Florida A&M @ Miami +10.7 140.9 79% 59–86 ✓
New Mexico State @ Indiana State +0.9 144.4 55% 80–66 ✗
Michigan @ Arizona +5.1 144.5 75% 62–80 ✓
Northern Colorado @ California Baptist +5.2 140.5 69% 70–74 ✓
Wichita State @ UNLV -6.0 128.7 23% 74–73 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Little Rock -1.9 134.4 49% 60–67 ✗
Evansville @ Rice +6.4 132.2 75% 104–109 ✓
Charlotte @ Toledo -2.7 140.9 45% 86–98 ✗
Kent State @ James Madison +3.4 136.0 60% 74–69 ✗
Bradley @ Duquesne +0.4 129.0 53% 70–78 ✓
Boston University @ Sam Houston -7.8 132.4 28% 72–59 ✓
Oakland @ Vermont -1.4 124.6 45% 63–61 ✓
Texas A&M @ Wisconsin -1.0 130.7 49% 58–69 ✗
Wright State @ George Washington +0.6 143.9 61% 63–74 ✓
Tulane @ Drexel +2.2 135.9 53% 90–87 ✗
Nicholls @ Cal Poly -8.2 125.5 25% 75–72 ✓
Northwestern State @ UL Monroe -0.6 147.4 31% 66–96 ✗
Brown @ Colorado +5.1 150.9 71% 52–54 ✓
Butler @ Houston +8.5 132.3 78% 52–70 ✓
Fordham @ Akron +2.6 137.5 63% 63–43 ✗
Idaho @ Utah Valley +14.3 154.0 87% 45–83 ✓
Murray State @ East Tennessee State -6.0 132.7 34% 58–66 ✗
Creighton @ Southern Illinois -1.3 132.5 43% 66–64 ✓
Seton Hall @ Ohio State -9.7 141.8 24% 76–79 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ SMU +9.6 141.3 79% 76–70 ✗
Illinois @ Cincinnati -4.3 135.6 31% 51–71 ✗
Cornell @ Penn State -0.6 141.4 54% 74–85 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Stony Brook +7.5 138.1 63% 72–75 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.