All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–7 on winners spread MAE 6.5 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Xavier @ UConn +17.2 147.4 89% 60–92 ✓
Boston College @ Duke +25.8 136.3 91% 49–67 ✓
Ole Miss @ Tennessee +10.9 143.3 85% 66–84 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State +9.4 140.9 80% 54–50 ✗
VCU @ Fordham -8.4 137.2 23% 63–59 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Dayton +6.4 148.0 77% 70–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ohio +5.3 152.8 73% 71–91 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +2.7 160.3 66% 75–72 ✗
Central Michigan @ Massachusetts +10.1 148.1 85% 89–95 ✓
Ball State @ Bowling Green +11.8 137.0 85% 52–77 ✓
South Carolina @ Texas +12.7 151.4 87% 75–84 ✓
St. John's @ DePaul -8.2 145.3 21% 68–56 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -0.5 145.0 48% 84–63 ✓
UIC @ Murray State +5.2 153.5 67% 74–81 ✓
Valparaiso @ Bradley +4.5 143.3 67% 65–72 ✓
La Salle @ Loyola Chicago -3.5 134.4 36% 61–71 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Lindenwood +2.6 136.4 64% 78–72 ✗
Little Rock @ UT Martin +11.9 131.7 85% 52–55 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +13.6 145.0 88% 47–67 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson -9.8 144.2 21% 91–82 ✓
Drake @ Belmont +12.3 152.9 88% 90–103 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +3.4 145.7 63% 87–91 ✓
NC State @ SMU +1.7 159.4 52% 84–83 ✗
Air Force @ Grand Canyon +24.7 135.0 91% 57–81 ✓
Rutgers @ UCLA +12.6 143.9 87% 66–98 ✓
Indiana @ USC -0.4 149.8 57% 75–81 ✗
UNLV @ Fresno State +3.3 147.1 67% 96–98 ✓
Wyoming @ San Diego State +8.9 141.8 80% 63–72 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -9.4 147.1 22% 81–67 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro -0.2 155.2 53% 78–81 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +5.4 139.2 69% 67–76 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +6.5 134.3 69% 60–72 ✓
South Alabama @ App State +2.7 129.8 61% 57–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.