Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–6 on winners spread MAE 9.6 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Syracuse @ North Carolina +13.0 151.2 85% 77–87 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alabama State +1.0 142.7 56% 66–79 ✓
Boston University @ Holy Cross +1.0 140.4 51% 72–64 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Lamar +5.7 135.1 68% 54–73 ✓
Houston Christian @ UT Rio Grande Valley +9.8 137.0 83% 57–74 ✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State -0.1 142.6 50% 61–58 ✓
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin +1.2 138.3 50% 60–67 ✓
New Orleans @ East Texas A&M -2.6 145.2 45% 94–85 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama A&M +0.5 144.8 47% 80–62 ✗
Southern @ Jackson State -4.8 150.5 31% 96–91 ✓
Grambling @ Alcorn State -3.3 142.3 38% 74–50 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +9.9 151.1 84% 90–85 ✗
Kansas @ Texas Tech +3.1 150.1 54% 64–61 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +5.4 134.8 73% 71–69 ✗
Weber State @ Sacramento State -1.7 159.2 50% 90–104 ✗
Idaho State @ Portland State +5.3 137.4 77% 65–88 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -8.2 162.8 26% 73–71 ✓
Akron @ Eastern Michigan -9.6 151.5 19% 66–64 ✓
Canisius @ Niagara +1.2 126.4 51% 56–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.