Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -1000 SC +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -12.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -11.2 (-2.2) | 147.8 (+11.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -11.3 (-2.3) | 149.9 (+9.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -10.8 (-1.8) | 151.2 (+7.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -12.7 (-3.7) | 151.4 (+7.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2025 | SC 84 – 69 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.7 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#35) | 5.7 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#53) | 0.47 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#36) | 1.12 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#87) | 0.495 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.5% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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