Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SC +120 TEX -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -4.6 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -3.1 (+18.1) | 141.0 (+12.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -2.9 (+17.9) | 142.4 (+10.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -3.2 (+18.2) | 143.0 (+10.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.4 (+18.4) | 142.5 (+10.5) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | TEX 84 – 75 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#85) | 14.3 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#104) | 2.34 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#91) | 2.86 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#161) | 0.549 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.