Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | USC +110 IU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | IU -2.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -0.5 (+6.5) | 150.6 (+5.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -0.3 (+5.7) | 148.2 (+7.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -0.3 (+6.3) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -0.4 (+6.4) | 149.8 (+6.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | IU 82 – 69 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#56) | 16.2 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#38) | 2.30 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#50) | 2.76 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#41) | 0.587 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.