Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–13 on winners spread MAE 11.0 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Michigan @ Louisville +24.1 154.7 90% 46–87 ✓
James Madison @ Florida International +6.2 152.1 70% 80–72 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Northern Kentucky +12.6 145.3 86% 71–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ The Citadel +4.3 158.9 69% 70–58 ✗
Kansas City @ Lindenwood +6.2 147.2 69% 67–80 ✓
NJIT @ Cincinnati +16.0 138.0 88% 67–94 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut +11.1 133.7 82% 106–108 ✓
Princeton @ Bradley +1.9 137.6 60% 64–88 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Florida Gulf Coast +13.3 155.8 86% 88–93 ✓
New Orleans @ Mississippi State +2.0 153.7 63% 78–81 ✓
Murray State @ McNeese +4.2 163.8 55% 60–73 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Illinois +26.4 155.2 91% 73–87 ✓
Auburn @ Oregon -4.5 146.1 33% 84–73 ✓
Yale @ Akron +1.8 153.0 55% 97–94 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Arkansas State +4.2 146.5 72% 63–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ Northern Arizona -0.4 146.1 50% 87–93 ✗
Radford @ SMU +29.5 154.3 91% 72–89 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri State +4.5 143.2 68% 75–61 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Loyola Marymount -0.7 143.4 56% 76–65 ✓
UTSA @ Abilene Christian -0.9 136.6 55% 50–61 ✗
Louisiana @ UC Davis +11.2 133.6 84% 56–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ Alabama -4.6 167.2 27% 95–85 ✓
Denver @ Arizona +19.5 146.0 88% 73–103 ✓
San Diego State @ Michigan +7.4 154.1 79% 54–94 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas +6.3 140.3 67% 87–86 ✗
UNLV @ Maryland +0.9 166.1 57% 67–74 ✓
Stony Brook @ Bethune-Cookman +2.3 147.0 63% 61–54 ✗
Towson @ Liberty +7.0 129.6 59% 72–69 ✗
Michigan State @ East Carolina -13.0 141.4 16% 89–56 ✓
Rutgers @ Notre Dame +7.6 138.7 80% 63–68 ✓
Pacific @ Jacksonville -2.3 133.3 39% 68–53 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Delaware +1.8 144.8 52% 60–73 ✓
Tulsa @ San José State -7.2 143.8 24% 81–51 ✓
Creighton @ Iowa State +9.1 148.7 82% 60–78 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Army -3.0 141.4 32% 84–67 ✓
NC State @ Boise State -1.0 148.9 44% 81–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Vermont -1.4 148.5 40% 80–65 ✓
Samford @ Georgia State -7.2 139.2 30% 78–63 ✓
Syracuse @ Kansas +2.5 136.4 62% 60–71 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +8.6 135.9 83% 59–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago -10.4 129.2 16% 72–51 ✓
St. John's @ Baylor -4.6 160.9 30% 96–81 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Oral Roberts -5.0 162.0 36% 83–91 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Ohio -6.6 144.3 26% 70–58 ✓
UC San Diego @ Bradley -2.1 141.7 43% 87–77 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ McNeese +8.1 151.2 76% 62–72 ✓
Seton Hall @ USC +1.4 147.7 44% 81–83 ✓
Tennessee @ Houston +0.6 128.7 38% 76–73 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ North Carolina +6.2 143.4 67% 70–85 ✓
Utah Valley @ South Dakota State +8.7 146.4 83% 75–52 ✗
Drexel @ Morgan State -0.4 145.4 46% 71–66 ✓
Tennessee State @ UNC Asheville +3.9 149.3 68% 75–73 ✗
William & Mary @ Abilene Christian -5.9 138.4 34% 92–58 ✓
San Diego @ California Baptist +9.5 136.7 81% 61–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Ohio State +24.0 144.9 90% 60–113 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.