And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–6 on winners spread MAE 6.1 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Xavier @ UConn +18.8 147.8 96% 60–92 ✓
Boston College @ Duke +27.9 136.2 99% 49–67 ✓
Ole Miss @ Tennessee +12.4 140.2 87% 66–84 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State +8.9 142.9 79% 54–50 ✗
VCU @ Fordham -8.2 143.4 23% 63–59 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Dayton +8.0 150.8 77% 70–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Ohio +6.5 159.1 72% 71–91 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +3.3 168.5 62% 75–72 ✗
Central Michigan @ Massachusetts +12.0 152.5 86% 89–95 ✓
Ball State @ Bowling Green +15.5 135.5 92% 52–77 ✓
South Carolina @ Texas +11.3 154.3 85% 75–84 ✓
St. John's @ DePaul -10.1 147.4 18% 68–56 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -2.3 147.9 42% 84–63 ✓
UIC @ Murray State +7.2 160.2 75% 74–81 ✓
Valparaiso @ Bradley +4.7 145.9 67% 65–72 ✓
La Salle @ Loyola Chicago -2.3 139.4 42% 61–71 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Lindenwood +4.7 138.6 67% 78–72 ✗
Little Rock @ UT Martin +12.2 135.1 87% 52–55 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +15.4 147.0 92% 47–67 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson -10.9 151.1 16% 91–82 ✓
Drake @ Belmont +12.2 156.6 87% 90–103 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +3.3 149.4 62% 87–91 ✓
NC State @ SMU -0.8 166.8 47% 84–83 ✓
Air Force @ Grand Canyon +25.2 130.7 99% 57–81 ✓
Rutgers @ UCLA +14.7 144.0 91% 66–98 ✓
Indiana @ USC -2.7 158.7 40% 75–81 ✗
UNLV @ Fresno State +3.9 150.4 64% 96–98 ✓
Wyoming @ San Diego State +9.2 148.3 80% 63–72 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -11.1 152.2 16% 81–67 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro -1.2 164.6 46% 78–81 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville +6.8 138.7 73% 67–76 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +6.4 130.3 72% 60–72 ✓
South Alabama @ App State +4.8 128.1 67% 57–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.