I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–10 on winners spread MAE 9.3 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Penn State -27.6 165.7 1% 74–72 ✓
Duke @ Louisville +1.3 161.6 55% 84–73 ✗
Georgia @ Florida +3.3 171.8 62% 77–92 ✓
Cincinnati @ West Virginia +5.3 129.3 69% 60–62 ✓
St. John's @ Butler -0.0 162.5 50% 84–70 ✓
Syracuse @ Georgia Tech -1.3 142.9 45% 82–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) +18.5 165.4 95% 76–87 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State -4.3 129.9 35% 74–52 ✓
Central Michigan @ Akron +28.3 167.6 99% 69–82 ✓
Bowling Green @ Kent State -2.7 162.4 40% 93–96 ✗
South Carolina @ LSU +11.2 154.0 85% 78–68 ✗
Iowa @ Minnesota -8.4 131.5 22% 67–70 ✗
UCF @ Oklahoma State -0.0 175.2 50% 76–87 ✗
George Washington @ Dayton +0.2 158.4 51% 72–79 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul +5.6 148.9 70% 50–56 ✓
Toledo @ Northern Illinois -5.4 157.3 31% 75–61 ✓
Lindenwood @ SIU Edwardsville -0.2 144.2 49% 62–66 ✗
Texas Tech @ Houston +5.3 141.1 69% 65–69 ✓
Texas @ Tennessee +11.3 156.3 85% 71–85 ✓
TCU @ Kansas +9.8 139.2 81% 100–104 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +1.3 145.3 55% 80–70 ✗
UCLA @ Wisconsin +1.7 154.9 56% 72–80 ✓
NC State @ Boston College -12.9 143.4 12% 79–71 ✓
Utah State @ Air Force -23.1 135.6 2% 99–62 ✓
Texas A&M @ Auburn +6.3 177.6 72% 90–88 ✗
UNLV @ Wyoming +11.3 160.4 85% 66–98 ✓
Fresno State @ San José State -0.3 144.7 49% 70–55 ✓
San Diego State @ Nevada +3.9 154.5 64% 73–68 ✗
Furman @ Chattanooga -4.3 144.0 35% 78–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +4.0 140.2 64% 58–66 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +7.7 154.9 76% 84–76 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +8.5 153.4 78% 85–97 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland -12.2 149.4 13% 84–66 ✓
Longwood @ UNC Asheville +7.6 148.1 75% 61–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +6.6 166.5 72% 77–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.