They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–5 on winners spread MAE 8.1 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +3.2 171.4 61% 89–85 ✗
Oregon @ Rutgers -5.1 141.9 32% 85–88 ✗
Yale @ Brown -9.3 150.3 20% 70–53 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +1.5 148.9 55% 76–79 ✓
Dartmouth @ Harvard +7.0 147.5 74% 76–68 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Princeton +0.5 143.7 52% 76–78 ✓
William & Mary @ Charleston -3.8 157.7 36% 79–88 ✗
Lamar @ SE Louisiana -0.0 134.0 50% 52–60 ✗
Texas Southern @ Grambling +13.8 152.3 90% 67–84 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley +1.5 146.7 55% 67–80 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +12.5 152.4 87% 72–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ McNeese +7.5 145.9 75% 64–66 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -9.2 143.8 20% 71–51 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian -1.5 130.1 45% 81–65 ✓
East Texas A&M @ New Orleans +10.1 155.9 82% 73–83 ✓
USC @ Michigan State +10.2 152.8 82% 51–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ Ohio +2.8 157.8 60% 83–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.