Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG +170 ORE -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +3 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -5.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -6.4 (+9.4) | 141.4 (+31.6) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -5.5 (+8.5) | 140.5 (+32.5) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -5.9 (+8.9) | 142.7 (+30.3) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -5.4 (+8.4) | 140.7 (+32.3) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2025 | ORE 75 – 57 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#193) | 7.7 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#189) | 1.06 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#200) | 1.50 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#197) | 0.542 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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