Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -400 RUTG +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +18 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -7.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -7.8 (+10.2) | 151.6 (-19.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -8.3 (+9.7) | 149.8 (-17.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -7.0 (+11.0) | 150.5 (-18.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -7.3 (+10.7) | 152.5 (-20.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | RUTG 88 – 85 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#41) | 8.2 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#28) | 1.19 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#32) | 1.86 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#19) | 0.540 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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