We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–9 on winners spread MAE 10.2 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ Florida +15.1 154.8 91% 63–85 ✓
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State +0.5 142.3 52% 54–70 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan State +2.1 145.5 58% 66–75 ✓
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh +13.8 153.4 90% 69–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +3.9 143.7 64% 77–69 ✗
North Florida @ Stetson -6.9 169.4 26% 79–71 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +14.0 148.2 90% 72–89 ✓
West Georgia @ North Alabama +18.3 148.9 95% 62–80 ✓
Lipscomb @ Eastern Kentucky -5.1 152.5 32% 57–66 ✗
Western Michigan @ Buffalo -0.2 149.4 49% 97–64 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Akron +24.7 158.6 99% 63–73 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green -6.8 136.1 27% 91–84 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ohio +5.4 152.8 69% 82–84 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +6.5 160.2 72% 66–67 ✓
Colorado @ Iowa State +17.4 143.6 94% 65–79 ✓
Texas Tech @ TCU -9.6 138.2 19% 66–69 ✗
Butler @ Xavier +6.8 154.3 73% 63–76 ✓
Illinois @ Wisconsin +2.5 161.9 59% 74–95 ✓
Air Force @ Wyoming +9.6 126.9 81% 62–69 ✓
Tennessee State @ UT Martin +1.8 157.1 56% 86–75 ✗
Houston @ Arizona State -13.1 133.3 12% 80–65 ✓
Seton Hall @ Marquette +20.8 133.3 97% 56–80 ✓
Kansas @ BYU -0.9 147.8 47% 57–91 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Boston College -0.7 146.1 48% 36–54 ✗
Nevada @ Colorado State +3.0 139.6 61% 71–79 ✓
South Carolina @ LSU +4.6 138.8 66% 67–81 ✓
Minnesota @ UCLA +13.3 129.3 89% 64–61 ✗
Fresno State @ San Diego State +21.5 141.5 97% 60–83 ✓
Temple @ Charlotte -3.3 155.9 38% 72–78 ✗
Massachusetts @ VCU +18.9 147.6 96% 51–80 ✓
American University @ Army +1.1 144.0 54% 69–76 ✓
Lafayette @ Holy Cross +1.6 135.6 56% 69–74 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -3.9 141.9 36% 82–43 ✓
Richmond @ La Salle +5.0 143.2 68% 63–58 ✗
Nebraska @ Penn State +0.2 150.9 51% 72–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.