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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
27–6 on winners
spread MAE 6.2
33 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+15.1 | 145.4 | 88% | 60–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.4 | 137.9 | 90% | 49–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.0 | 143.0 | 86% | 66–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.7 | 140.7 | 80% | 54–50 | ✗ |
|
|
-7.6 | 137.4 | 22% | 63–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.6 | 146.8 | 77% | 70–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.0 | 149.9 | 74% | 71–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.3 | 157.7 | 60% | 75–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.4 | 147.5 | 84% | 89–95 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.7 | 134.9 | 84% | 52–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.2 | 147.8 | 87% | 75–84 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.9 | 144.7 | 17% | 68–56 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.5 | 146.3 | 49% | 84–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.2 | 151.3 | 66% | 74–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.0 | 140.7 | 71% | 65–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 132.7 | 51% | 61–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.5 | 136.5 | 66% | 78–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.9 | 132.1 | 85% | 52–55 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.0 | 142.2 | 87% | 47–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.1 | 143.1 | 25% | 91–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.4 | 150.3 | 85% | 90–103 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.2 | 142.3 | 72% | 87–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.8 | 155.5 | 63% | 84–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+20.4 | 137.2 | 90% | 57–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.0 | 143.0 | 86% | 66–98 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.5 | 150.6 | 55% | 75–81 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.2 | 147.5 | 64% | 96–98 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.1 | 142.4 | 84% | 63–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.6 | 147.0 | 21% | 81–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.1 | 153.1 | 65% | 78–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.0 | 137.8 | 77% | 67–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.6 | 135.1 | 80% | 60–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.6 | 132.3 | 64% | 57–65 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.