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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–6 on winners spread MAE 9.5 19 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Syracuse @ North Carolina	+12.6	153.2	85%	77–87	✓
Florida A&M @ Alabama State	+2.0	139.0	63%	66–79	✓
Boston University @ Holy Cross	+0.4	139.5	45%	72–64	✗
SE Louisiana @ Lamar	+6.4	132.5	72%	54–73	✓
Houston Christian @ UT Rio Grande Valley	+8.3	138.5	83%	57–74	✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State	-0.8	141.6	48%	61–58	✓
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin	+0.1	137.8	39%	60–67	✓
New Orleans @ East Texas A&M	-1.6	145.8	49%	94–85	✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama A&M	+0.1	146.3	36%	80–62	✗
Southern @ Jackson State	-4.2	148.6	31%	96–91	✓
Grambling @ Alcorn State	-3.5	136.1	37%	74–50	✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State	+9.0	150.0	83%	90–85	✗
Kansas @ Texas Tech	+3.8	148.4	67%	64–61	✗
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	+5.9	133.7	73%	71–69	✗
Weber State @ Sacramento State	-1.4	157.8	51%	90–104	✗
Idaho State @ Portland State	+5.1	138.1	72%	65–88	✓
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo	-4.5	164.4	30%	73–71	✓
Akron @ Eastern Michigan	-11.0	151.9	18%	66–64	✓
Canisius @ Niagara	+1.6	126.5	56%	56–65	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.