What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–5 on winners spread MAE 7.8 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa @ Maryland -2.3 156.0 45% 89–67 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +5.3 132.4 75% 73–80 ✓
Cincinnati @ SMU +9.4 142.3 81% 76–69 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack — — — 90–97 —
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +4.7 141.0 81% 75–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +6.1 130.1 74% 54–57 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Belmont +11.8 144.0 86% 66–77 ✓
UNLV @ Colorado State +11.5 145.1 88% 71–74 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky +2.0 141.6 72% 66–69 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona -1.2 130.5 44% 73–69 ✓
BYU @ Gonzaga +12.5 153.7 86% 69–86 ✓
Murray State @ Eastern Illinois +3.3 136.7 59% 68–74 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +1.8 138.1 52% 79–67 ✗
Illinois @ Northwestern -4.5 151.6 36% 81–56 ✓
Washington @ Stanford +9.2 136.1 81% 75–91 ✓
USC @ Arizona +1.9 145.4 64% 87–73 ✗
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +4.0 142.8 66% 62–74 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +14.0 147.7 88% 64–88 ✓
Idaho @ Southern Utah +13.8 147.3 89% 80–85 ✓
Washington State @ California +0.4 133.1 50% 71–60 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +9.4 135.3 84% 60–65 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona State -2.1 145.8 37% 81–75 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +9.8 135.0 83% 70–94 ✓
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +8.5 134.1 80% 79–84 ✓
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +4.7 141.7 77% 58–71 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack — — — 68–62 —
Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.9 131.2 57% 55–67 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Bryant +13.3 157.3 89% 64–76 ✓
Rider @ Niagara +9.8 132.5 80% 76–70 ✗
Oakland @ Green Bay +3.3 155.0 65% 81–84 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +15.1 134.4 89% 63–69 ✓
South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina +5.3 140.8 74% 65–78 ✓
Georgia Southern @ App State +4.3 137.1 70% 63–66 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo +5.7 145.3 75% 78–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.