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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–4 on winners spread MAE 8.7 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas @ Tennessee +5.5 145.4 73% 74–79 ✓
Georgetown @ Butler +1.7 134.8 57% 55–63 ✓
VCU @ George Mason -7.9 140.9 20% 66–61 ✓
Georgia @ LSU +9.1 149.3 83% 92–94 ✓
Samford @ Chattanooga +2.5 148.8 68% 68–73 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +5.7 141.4 66% 84–75 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +1.8 145.4 54% 75–67 ✗
Wichita State @ Houston +11.4 134.8 84% 63–70 ✓
St. John's @ Xavier +8.2 152.7 81% 61–69 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Houston Christian -11.1 144.1 16% 66–63 ✓
Sam Houston @ SE Louisiana -0.6 144.0 42% 70–52 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Central Arkansas +8.5 148.2 79% 79–83 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +10.1 141.0 84% 69–76 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan +6.7 156.0 73% 57–82 ✓
Boston College @ Duke +4.5 146.5 74% 82–83 ✓
Oklahoma @ Baylor +14.5 151.8 86% 61–76 ✓
Seton Hall @ Creighton +4.2 148.0 71% 53–89 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia +6.5 126.1 79% 61–70 ✓
Texas A&M @ South Carolina +4.7 134.6 65% 54–78 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss +4.1 139.0 68% 61–72 ✓
Utah State @ New Mexico -12.3 133.8 16% 77–45 ✓
Air Force @ Boise State +20.6 131.2 90% 59–78 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Bryant +13.3 155.7 88% 68–93 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis Brooklyn -2.6 132.6 54% 55–70 ✗
Oregon @ Colorado +4.5 136.1 75% 72–79 ✓
Northeastern @ Hofstra +4.4 136.7 70% 81–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.