Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -14.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.5 (-3.5) | 141.6 (+3.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.1 (-3.1) | 141.0 (+4.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -9.9 (-2.9) | 141.8 (+3.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -10.4 (-3.4) | 141.3 (+3.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NICH 53 – 52 LAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAM 90 – 80 NICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAM 58 – 55 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Jan 20, 2025 | LAM 78 – 74 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-1 | 5-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#185) | -12.7 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#229) | -1.96 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#221) | -2.86 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#215) | 0.408 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.