Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -120 UNCG +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +9 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -9.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -7.4 (-16.4) | 139.3 (+19.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -5.7 (-14.7) | 141.4 (+17.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -6.8 (-15.8) | 139.6 (+19.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -7.1 (-16.1) | 140.0 (+19.0) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-3 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#101) | -1.0 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#88) | -0.39 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#75) | -0.68 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#73) | 0.503 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
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