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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–5 on winners
spread MAE 10.2
17 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kansas State
@
Texas Tech
|
+15.1 | 128.2 | 89% | 71–82 | ✓ |
NC State
@
Clemson
|
+4.0 | 132.6 | 71% | 70–74 | ✓ |
Davidson
@
Duquesne
|
+0.6 | 133.5 | 48% | 61–48 | ✗ |
Vanderbilt
@
Kentucky
|
+4.4 | 134.9 | 67% | 74–77 | ✓ |
Florida
@
Alabama
|
+2.5 | 151.1 | 68% | 71–86 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Texas
|
+16.3 | 141.6 | 89% | 72–78 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Coppin State
|
+9.9 | 155.5 | 84% | 77–81 | ✓ |
North Carolina
@
Miami
|
-2.9 | 135.3 | 44% | 67–65 | ✓ |
Missouri
@
Mississippi State
|
-2.5 | 137.3 | 42% | 63–78 | ✗ |
Rutgers
@
Michigan State
|
-4.1 | 147.9 | 34% | 45–68 | ✗ |
UConn
@
Marquette
|
-0.1 | 138.1 | 52% | 65–54 | ✓ |
Kansas
@
TCU
|
-2.6 | 138.8 | 45% | 93–64 | ✓ |
Tulsa
@
South Florida
|
+1.4 | 129.4 | 54% | 61–51 | ✗ |
Saint Joseph's
@
St. Bonaventure
|
+10.6 | 151.6 | 85% | 57–83 | ✓ |
Pittsburgh
@
Syracuse
|
+8.2 | 145.9 | 76% | 63–60 | ✗ |
Rhode Island
@
Richmond
|
+2.7 | 143.2 | 67% | 73–80 | ✓ |
Virginia Tech
@
Louisville
|
+2.3 | 131.4 | 61% | 71–73 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.