This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Clemson Tigers
74 – 70 OT
FINAL Conference
NC State Wolfpack
Atlantic Coast Conference · Littlejohn Coliseum · January 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -4.0 Push
O/U 136.5 Over
Money CLEM -180 / NCSU +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +4 144 Won
Massey CLEM -3.9 (+0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 130.3 (+13.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -4.7 (-0.7) 131.0 (+13.0) 72% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLEM -4.0 (+0.0) 132.6 (+11.4) 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -2.2 (+1.8) 135.5 (+8.5) 72% ✓
Baseline ML CLEM -3.9 (+0.1) 132.2 (+11.8) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2026 NCSU 80 – 76 CLEM
Feb 1, 2025 CLEM 68 – 58 NCSU
Feb 18, 2024 NCSU 78 – 77 CLEM
Mar 10, 2023 CLEM 80 – 54 NCSU
Feb 25, 2023 CLEM 96 – 71 NCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM NCSU
Overall 16-8 14-11
Conference 10-6 9-8
Home 11-1 7-4
Away 2-5 5-5
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 64.9 72.8
Avg Pts Against 61.9 69.7
Massey 12.7 (#28) 12.2 (#30)
Bradley-Terry 3.44 (#8) 1.94 (#53)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.83 (#11) 2.72 (#57)
RPI 0.669 (#10) 0.546 (#101)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM NCSU
FG% 42.4% 49.1%
3PT% 34.4% 36.8%
REB / G 34.2 33.4
OREB / G 10.0 10.6
AST / TO 0.99 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.5% 55.2%
TOV% 19.8% 16.9%
ORB% 29.6% 29.8%
FT Rate 20.4% 19.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.2% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 27.0% 28.6%
DRB% 71.5% 66.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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