Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | UK -800 VAN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UK -8.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -5.3 (-2.3) | 133.5 (+17.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -4.4 (-1.4) | 134.9 (+16.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -4.7 (-1.7) | 135.8 (+15.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -5.7 (-2.7) | 134.4 (+16.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 5-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#108) | -1.3 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#210) | -0.28 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#156) | -0.36 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#176) | 0.437 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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