Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | SYR -750 PITT +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -12.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -10.6 (-13.6) | 144.9 (-21.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -8.2 (-11.2) | 145.9 (-22.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -7.6 (-10.6) | 146.4 (-23.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -9.1 (-12.1) | 144.1 (-21.1) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 10-12 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#18) | 5.7 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#31) | 1.52 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#32) | 1.05 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#20) | 0.541 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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