Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | DUQ +120 DAV -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +13 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -0.1 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -0.3 (-12.7) | 137.8 (-28.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -0.6 (-13.6) | 133.5 (-24.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -0.1 (-12.9) | 135.6 (-26.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -0.3 (-13.3) | 138.2 (-29.2) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DAV 67 – 56 DUQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | DUQ 89 – 83 DAV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | DAV 77 – 71 DUQ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | DAV 72 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 26, 2023 | DAV 71 – 67 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-4 |
| Home | 5-1 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#125) | 5.9 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#224) | 0.59 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#199) | 1.18 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#152) | 0.519 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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