Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +23 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -7.1 (+30.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-42.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -4.8 (+27.8) | 152.9 (-39.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -4.1 (+27.1) | 147.9 (-34.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -4.5 (+27.5) | 153.7 (-40.7) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -4.9 (+27.9) | 152.4 (-39.4) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MSU 91 – 87 RUTG |
| Jan 27, 2026 | MSU 88 – 79 RUTG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSU 81 – 74 RUTG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MSU 73 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | RUTG 61 – 55 MSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#117) | 13.3 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#80) | 2.91 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#68) | 4.49 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#146) | 0.654 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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