Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | RICH -200 URI +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -4.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.0 (+3.0) | 142.9 (+10.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.7 (+4.3) | 143.2 (+9.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.5 (+2.5) | 145.8 (+7.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.3 (+2.7) | 142.4 (+10.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | URI 82 – 77 RICH |
| Jan 22, 2026 | URI 69 – 68 RICH |
| Jan 11, 2025 | URI 67 – 64 RICH |
| Feb 22, 2024 | RICH 85 – 77 URI |
| Jan 18, 2023 | RICH 64 – 57 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 7-10 |
| Home | 6-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#73) | 6.2 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#65) | 1.02 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#63) | 1.87 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#56) | 0.542 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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