Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
| Money | TTU -2000 KSU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -20.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (+25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -15.2 (-4.2) | 132.6 (+20.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -15.1 (-4.1) | 128.2 (+24.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -15.6 (-4.6) | 133.5 (+19.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -16.0 (-5.0) | 133.9 (+19.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TTU 100 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | TTU 61 – 57 KSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TTU 60 – 59 KSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | TTU 71 – 63 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KSU 68 – 58 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-12 |
| Away | 5-4 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#21) | -2.1 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#51) | -0.20 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#41) | -0.60 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#119) | 0.480 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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