Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -1000 ISU +660 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -20.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -16.7 (-10.7) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -16.3 (-10.3) | 141.6 (+8.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -16.2 (-10.2) | 140.5 (+9.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -16.8 (-10.8) | 138.5 (+11.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2024 | ISU 70 – 65 TEX |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TEX 72 – 54 ISU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | ISU 78 – 67 TEX |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TEX 63 – 41 ISU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ISU 79 – 70 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 0-18 |
| Home | 8-5 | 2-10 |
| Away | 6-2 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#11) | -0.9 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#5) | -1.21 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.50 (#5) | -1.95 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.691 (#6) | 0.457 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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