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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.5
18 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southern Illinois
@
Drake
|
+15.3 | 139.7 | 87% | 55–86 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
Radford
|
+4.2 | 132.0 | 65% | 66–79 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Coppin State
|
+10.6 | 155.7 | 85% | 78–86 | ✓ |
Maryland
@
Indiana
|
+1.3 | 136.6 | 58% | 55–63 | ✓ |
West Virginia
@
Oklahoma State
|
+1.6 | 146.1 | 50% | 87–84 | ✗ |
Colorado State
@
San Diego State
|
+3.0 | 130.8 | 71% | 65–78 | ✓ |
Wyoming
@
Fresno State
|
-0.1 | 146.1 | 41% | 61–81 | ✗ |
Jackson State
@
Alabama State
|
— | — | — | 60–44 | — |
Holy Cross
@
Boston University
|
— | — | — | 68–66 | — |
Toledo
@
Kent State
|
+2.7 | 143.4 | 58% | 84–82 | ✗ |
Campbell
@
Gardner-Webb
|
+2.7 | 139.6 | 63% | 70–85 | ✓ |
Winthrop
@
Charleston Southern
|
-14.1 | 147.7 | 13% | 78–76 | ✓ |
Florida Atlantic
@
James Madison
|
+4.3 | 139.6 | 65% | 70–79 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
Fordham
|
-9.9 | 124.5 | 34% | 54–55 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
South Carolina Upstate
|
+1.0 | 134.4 | 57% | 59–65 | ✓ |
|
Hampton
@
Radford
|
+4.4 | 131.9 | 66% | 65–76 | ✓ |
Central Michigan
@
Bowling Green
|
+9.1 | 154.4 | 82% | 69–90 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Ohio
|
+18.3 | 137.5 | 90% | 73–76 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.