Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | TCU +240 KU -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +29 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -2.2 (-26.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -0.2 (-28.8) | 139.2 (+17.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.6 (-26.4) | 138.8 (+18.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -1.0 (-28.0) | 139.1 (+17.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -0.4 (-28.6) | 137.7 (+19.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | KU 74 – 61 TCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU 83 – 81 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2023 | KU 63 – 58 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#91) | 10.9 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#33) | 3.26 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#59) | 4.20 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#68) | 0.621 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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