Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | MICH -340 MINN +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +25 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -6.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -7.9 (+17.1) | 154.3 (-15.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.7 (+18.3) | 156.0 (-17.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.0 (+19.0) | 157.2 (-18.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -6.1 (+18.9) | 152.3 (-13.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MICH 77 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MINN 84 – 81 MICH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MINN 73 – 71 MICH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | MICH 60 – 56 MINN |
| Dec 9, 2022 | MICH 90 – 75 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 15.7 (#11) | 12.4 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.26 (#2) | 3.05 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.41 (#2) | 4.51 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.693 (#4) | 0.643 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 35.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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