Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | HCU +1000 ACU -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -17.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -13.4 (+10.4) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -11.1 (+8.1) | 144.1 (-15.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -13.1 (+10.1) | 146.6 (-17.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -13.8 (+10.8) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2021 | ACU 88 – 59 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-19 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 4-11 | 13-2 |
| Home | 4-6 | 13-0 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.1 | 61.6 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#325) | 7.8 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#324) | 1.24 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.23 (#327) | 1.92 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#273) | 0.544 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 28.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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