Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | HOF -210 NE +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -4.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.0 (-8.0) | 133.7 (+25.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.4 (-7.4) | 136.7 (+22.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.6 (-8.6) | 137.7 (+21.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.5 (-7.5) | 134.5 (+24.5) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 8-2 |
| Home | 7-3 | 5-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#127) | 0.7 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#77) | -0.24 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#86) | 0.00 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#56) | 0.536 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.