Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.0 Over |
| Money | LSU -410 UGA +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +2 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -11.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -11.3 (-9.3) | 154.1 (+31.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -9.1 (-7.1) | 149.3 (+36.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -10.2 (-8.2) | 154.1 (+31.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -10.0 (-8.0) | 153.0 (+33.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UGA 83 – 71 LSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UGA 81 – 62 LSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LSU 67 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UGA 68 – 66 LSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LSU 72 – 67 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#10) | 7.8 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#61) | 1.02 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#54) | 1.50 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#45) | 0.529 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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