Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -3.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -1.1 (-9.1) | 148.0 (-6.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -1.8 (-9.8) | 145.4 (-3.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -1.1 (-9.1) | 150.6 (-8.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -0.9 (-8.9) | 149.1 (-7.1) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 8-14 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 6-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#310) | -10.2 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.23 (#342) | -2.52 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.43 (#343) | -4.17 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#280) | 0.419 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.