Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +36 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -5.5 (+30.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -5.9 (+30.1) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -4.2 (+31.8) | 148.0 (-6.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -4.7 (+31.3) | 150.1 (-8.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -5.7 (+30.3) | 149.7 (-7.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | HALL 72 – 61 CREI |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CREI 69 – 68 HALL |
| Jan 4, 2026 | HALL 56 – 54 CREI |
| Mar 5, 2025 | CREI 79 – 61 HALL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CREI 79 – 54 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#22) | 11.4 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#17) | 2.13 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.71 (#28) | 3.21 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#31) | 0.604 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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