Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -210 GTWN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -1.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -2.0 (+6.0) | 138.4 (-20.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -1.7 (+6.3) | 134.8 (-16.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -2.1 (+5.9) | 138.2 (-20.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -1.4 (+6.6) | 137.9 (-19.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#171) | 1.3 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#167) | 0.20 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#140) | 0.51 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#190) | 0.510 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 43.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 80.5% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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