Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -19.0 Push |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -3500 AF +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +19 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -27.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -21.2 (-2.2) | 135.7 (+1.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -20.6 (-1.6) | 131.2 (+5.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -22.6 (-3.6) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -22.8 (-3.8) | 136.2 (+0.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BOIS 96 – 54 AF |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BOIS 80 – 57 AF |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BOIS 77 – 59 AF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 48 AF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BOIS 94 – 56 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 58.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#17) | -9.9 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#12) | -0.39 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.48 (#12) | -1.45 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#21) | 0.486 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 25.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 4.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 26.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 15.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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