Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | BAY -800 OU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +15 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -16.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -13.9 (+1.1) | 157.0 (-20.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -14.5 (+0.5) | 151.8 (-14.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -13.8 (+1.2) | 154.1 (-17.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -13.8 (+1.2) | 153.7 (-16.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 4, 2026 | OU 82 – 69 BAY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | BAY 79 – 62 OU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | BAY 82 – 72 OU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | BAY 62 – 60 OU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | OU 72 – 67 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-2 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 9-8 |
| Home | 11-0 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-1 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 23.1 (#1) | 10.0 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.79 (#4) | 2.39 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.31 (#3) | 3.12 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#52) | 0.564 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 43.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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