Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -170 ORE +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -6.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.8 (+2.2) | 140.3 (+10.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -4.5 (+2.5) | 136.1 (+14.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.7 (+1.3) | 140.7 (+10.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -5.1 (+1.9) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#7) | 13.7 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#56) | 2.80 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#45) | 4.03 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#38) | 0.615 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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