Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | ASU +195 UCLA -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -2.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -2.5 (-3.5) | 150.1 (+5.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -2.1 (-3.9) | 145.8 (+10.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.6 (-3.4) | 151.1 (+4.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -2.4 (-3.6) | 149.6 (+6.4) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UCLA 79 – 61 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 13-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#108) | 9.1 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#105) | 1.92 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#121) | 2.64 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#123) | 0.589 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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