Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -6.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -4.5 (-1.5) | 143.1 (+9.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -4.7 (-1.7) | 141.0 (+12.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -4.3 (-1.3) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -3.7 (-0.7) | 142.7 (+10.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | LIU 91 – 89 SFPA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIU 67 – 63 SFPA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SFPA 71 – 68 LIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SFPA 74 – 64 LIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | LIU 64 – 51 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#188) | -4.4 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#164) | -0.30 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#196) | -0.34 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#261) | 0.502 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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