Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -13.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -11.3 (-17.3) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -9.8 (-15.8) | 132.5 (+13.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -11.1 (-17.1) | 134.9 (+11.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -11.0 (-17.0) | 136.7 (+9.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-11 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-3 | 1-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#169) | -10.4 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#145) | -2.14 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#141) | -2.82 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#128) | 0.390 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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